The Hook
Angel Publishing’s $99 special report, sold with no subscription and no refunds, opens with a dramatic scene: “Just One Day Before the Iran War Began… The Pentagon Launched an Emergency Search for a ‘Disappearing War Metal.’ It’s beating gold by 9-to-1. The U.S. has ZERO domestic supply. Every missile fired destroys more of it forever.”
The unnamed metal is tungsten, and the report teases three stocks “positioned for a supply shock.” The framing is fear-first, but underneath it sits a genuinely important story about a critical mineral the United States has largely ceded to China. The task is separating the real supply-chain problem from the overstatement.
The Big Claim
The pitch runs on four interlocking claims. China imposed sweeping export controls on tungsten in early 2025, cutting Western shipments nearly 40% overnight. The U.S. military is now legally barred from using Chinese-sourced tungsten in weapons systems. The Defense Logistics Agency has an emergency request for 4.5 million pounds that “hasn’t filled a single ton.” And the global tungsten market is so small, about $6 billion, that a handful of non-Chinese projects could matter a great deal.
The numbers check out in their broad shape. China did tighten tungsten export controls, the strategic reserve really was sold down over two decades, and the U.S. genuinely lacks meaningful domestic tungsten production. Tungsten is critical to armor-piercing munitions, cutting tools, aerospace, and semiconductor manufacturing, so the national-security framing has teeth.
The Mechanism
The three picks split across the tungsten supply chain, which matters for understanding what you are actually buying.
Almonty Industries (ALM) is the most direct play. It is a U.S.-headquartered company whose flagship asset is the Sangdong tungsten mine in South Korea, a past-producing mine being brought back online after China flooded the market. The ad’s claim that it could supply “nearly half of all non-Chinese supply” once fully ramped is plausible on paper: Sangdong is one of the largest known tungsten deposits outside China. Almonty trades near $14.66 with a market cap around $4.2 billion, which is already a substantial valuation for a mine that is still ramping toward full production.
Kennametal (KMT) is the industrial anchor. It is a long-established maker of tungsten-carbide cutting tools and wear parts, a major Western consumer and refiner of tungsten rather than a miner. At about $29.47 with a $2.25 billion market cap, it is a way to bet on tungsten demand and Western supply-chain reconfiguration without the mine-building risk. The caveat is that higher tungsten prices are a cost to Kennametal, not just a tailwind, so it is not a pure supply-shock winner.
American Tungsten (TUNG.V / TUNGF) is the speculative junior. It is an OTC-listed tungsten explorer trading around $1.40, with no meaningful market-cap data available from our pricing source. This is a lottery-ticket expression of the thesis, the kind of stock that can double or halve on a single drill result or financing round.
The supply-chain reality is more textured than the ad suggests. Tungsten comes in several forms: ore concentrate, ammonium paratungstate (the refined intermediate), tungsten carbide powder, and finished tooling. China’s controls bite hardest at the refining stage, where it holds the overwhelming share of capacity, and that is the real chokepoint.
Western companies can mine tungsten concentrate in places like South Korea, Portugal, and Spain, but they still often depend on Chinese refineries to turn it into usable material. That is why Almonty’s Sangdong project, which includes a planned Korean processing facility, is strategically interesting, and why Kennametal, which operates its own recycling and processing, has spent years trying to secure non-Chinese supply.
Tungsten is far from the only critical mineral caught in this squeeze. The same China export-control playbook is playing out in rare earths and in antimony, another war metal the Pentagon has been forced to source outside China, a pattern we have covered at length. The tungsten pitch is one chapter in a much bigger reshoring story.
The financial picture for each pick is equally varied. Almonty is growing revenue as Sangdong ramps but is still far from the output the “$4.2 billion” valuation implies. Kennametal is a mature, profitable industrial with single-digit revenue growth and a real dividend, so it is a quality compounder more than a catalyst play. American Tungsten is a pre-revenue junior whose $1.40 share price reflects the early stage of its Idaho project and the ever-present risk of dilution from future financings.
The Real Pick
| Ticker | Company | Current Price | Tease Price | Change Since Tease | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUNGF | American Tungsten Corp. | $1.40 | $1.30 | N/A | OTC, not available |
| KMT | Kennametal Inc. | $29.47 | $29.70 | -0.77% | ~$2.25B |
| ALM | Almonty Industries Inc. | $14.66 | $13.47 | +8.83% | ~$4.23B |
Prices as of the September 21, 2026 close via Polygon. American Tungsten trades OTC, so no market-cap figure is available from our source.
Does the Math Check Out?
The headline “beating gold by 9-to-1” claim needs a time window to mean anything, and the ad does not provide one. Tungsten prices did spike after the 2025 export controls, but a “9-to-1 versus gold” figure is almost certainly a cherry-picked comparison of a short tungsten spike against a quiet stretch of gold, not a durable trend. Ammonium paratungstate, the refined tungsten intermediate, has historically traded in a wide band from roughly $250 to $350 per metric ton unit, and the post-2025 run, while real, has been a move within a small, thin market rather than a secular re-rating.
The “every missile fired destroys more of it forever” line overstates the physics. Tungsten is not annihilated when used; it is consumed and dissipated, and a meaningful share is recycled. That does not make the supply problem fake, but it does mean the “disappearing” language is theatrical. The strategic-reserve detail is more accurate: the U.S. sold down its Cold War tungsten stockpile over two decades, and the Defense Logistics Agency’s unfilled 4.5-million-pound request is a documented, if slow-moving, real-world signal.
The valuation math is where the pitch and reality diverge most. Almonty’s $4.2 billion market cap already prices in a successful Sangdong ramp. Kennametal, as a consumer, does not get a clean windfall from higher tungsten prices. And American Tungsten is a pre-revenue junior whose “$1.30” tease price reflects how early-stage it is. None of the three is a hidden bargain; each is a different risk profile on a real theme.
Almonty is not alone in the non-Chinese tungsten story. Other Western-linked assets include the Panasqueira mine in Portugal and Spain’s Los Santos, alongside recycled material from Kennametal and other Western processors. The report’s framing that one company controls nearly half of non-Chinese supply is really about Almonty’s eventual ramp toward full production, not a monopoly it holds today. A reader who treats this $99 report as a menu of ways to express a real supply-chain theme, rather than as three guaranteed winners, will get the most out of it.
What They Got Right
- China’s 2025 tungsten export controls are real, and they did meaningfully tighten Western supply.
- The U.S. strategic tungsten reserve really was sold down, leaving the military without a domestic buffer.
- Tungsten is genuinely critical to defense, aerospace, tooling, and semiconductors, so the national-security angle is legitimate.
- Almonty’s Sangdong mine is one of the few large, near-term, non-Chinese tungsten assets, and that is a defensible investment thesis on its own.
What They Got Wrong
- “Beating gold by 9-to-1” is presented without a time window, which makes it unverifiable and almost certainly cherry-picked.
- “Every missile fired destroys more of it forever” overstates the physics; tungsten is consumed and partly recycled, not annihilated.
- “ZERO domestic supply” ignores U.S. recycling capacity and the nuance that the constraint is mined supply, not all supply.
- Kennametal is a tungsten consumer, not a miner, so a price spike is partly a cost to it, which makes it a weak “supply shock” pick.
- Selling a $99 report with no refunds and no named presenter, wrapped in war-driven urgency, offers a reader very little recourse if the thesis does not resolve on the advertised timeline.
The Verdict
The tungsten supply-chain story is real, and China’s export controls are a genuine catalyst that most investors have not priced into their portfolios. Almonty is the most direct and credible way to express it, though you are paying up for the privilege. Kennametal is a steadier, diversified industrial that benefits from reshoring demand more than from a price spike. American Tungsten is a speculation, not an investment. None of them requires the fear framing the $99 report wraps around them.
This is not financial advice. NewsletterVetter has no position in any stock mentioned. Angel Publishing’s own terms for this $99 special report state there is no subscription and no refund, which is worth weighing against the report’s certainty about a supply shock that will take years of mine-building to resolve.