A Career in the Ground

Dave Forest is not a tech newsletter guy. His beat is rocks, energy, and the long, patient cycles that make or break resource companies. He has spent decades in energy and resource speculation, and he started Casey Energy Speculator back in 2004, which puts him in a specific generation of natural-resource editors who came up during the early-2000s commodity boom. That background matters, because it shapes the kind of call he makes and the way he frames a pitch.

The headline credential in his marketing is that he surfaced Lynas Resources, the Australian rare-earths developer that went on to become a long-term winner. Rare earths are his natural territory, and the Critical Assets launch, with its focus on neodymium and the magnet supply chain, is squarely inside the circle he has worked for two decades. Brownstone Research’s founder and its broader operation is the house this runs under, and Forest is the editor out front.

What He Actually Pitches

The current launch is called Critical Assets, and the specific campaign is built around rare earths, the strongest permanent magnets, and the metals that go into them. The core idea is that neodymium and praseodymium, which China dominates, are about to face a demand surge from electric vehicles and robots, and that an American deposit in Wyoming is the way to play it. The countdown clock in the promo is set to August 26, 2026, the date of the company’s annual meeting.

The headline number is a 39X return “in under two years,” which Forest’s marketing calls “extremely conservative.” That framing deserves the same skepticism any 39X framing gets, but it is also consistent with how resource editors have always sold. The commodity space trades on the promise of asymmetry, a small bet that could become a big one, and Forest has been writing that promise for longer than most.

Separating the Editor From the Marketing

There is a useful line to draw here. Dave Forest’s actual record as a resource analyst is legitimate in a way that is easy to verify. A newsletter editor who starts a publication in 2004 and stays in the game for two decades is not a fly-by-night operation. He has been right about rare earths as a theme before, and the strategic case for a non-China supply chain is stronger now than it was then.

The marketing around that record is a different animal. Survivorship bias, the practice of listing only the winning calls, is standard across the industry, and the 4,344% uranium trade and 1,700X Paladin Energy calls that decorate the pitch are measured from bottom to top in a way no real investor captures. That is not a criticism of Forest specifically; it is the genre. The supercycle claims that carry these launches are worth reading closely for the same reason.

What to Take Away

The honest summary is that Critical Assets sits at the intersection of a credible editor and a hard-to-verify promise. Forest’s background in energy and resources is real, his rare-earths thesis has legs, and his pick, a pre-revenue Wyoming developer with a defense-contractor owner, is a genuine, if early, bet on a domestic supply chain. What actually counts as a critical mineral is the frame he is working inside.

What is less certain is the multiple and the timeline. A resource editor with a good theme can still pitch a stock that is four years from production and diluted along the way. Forest is a real analyst with a real career. The launch is still a subscription sale with a countdown clock, and the two facts can both be true.

The Fine Print on the Pitch

The mechanics of the launch are worth spelling out, because they shape how to read the editor. The offer is a $2,250-a-year subscription with no refunds, and the 90-day “guarantee” returns Brownstone Research credit, not cash. That is a standard structure in the industry, and it means the cost of the newsletter is committed before you know whether the thesis plays out.

The countdown clock is set to August 26, 2026, the date of the company’s annual meeting, which is a rubber-stamp vote. General Atomics controls roughly 70% of the vote, so the meeting is not a catalyst in any meaningful sense. It is a date, not an event, and using it as a deadline is a classic urgency device.

That is the honest read of Dave Forest and his launch. A credible resource editor, a real rare-earths thesis, and a sales page that runs on urgency and a 39X number. The first two are worth taking seriously. The third is worth reading slowly, with the clock turned off.

Ready to see the research? Click here to access Dave Forest’s report.

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